World

After three bids, Keiko Fujimori set to lead a divided Peru

For 15 years, the presidency remained tantalisingly out of reach for Fujimori. In 2011, at age 36, her first presidential bid ended in a narrow run-off loss to Ollanta Humala.

In 2016, entering as the overwhelming favourite with nearly 40 percent of first-round votes, she was defeated in the second round by banker Pedro Pablo Kuczynski by a mere 41,000 votes. By 2021, battered by the “Cocktails” campaign finance trial, she scraped into the run-off with just 13 percent of the vote before losing to rural teacher Pedro Castillo by a fraction of a percentage point.

It was only in 2026, after running on an aggressive platform centred on public safety, organised crime crackdowns and free-market revival, that Fujimori managed to push past the finish line.

Her economic promises immediately reassured international markets, unlocking delayed mining investments in the world’s third-largest copper producer after fears of a leftist victory subsided.

A new chapter in a politically unstable country

When Fujimori takes the oath of office at the Palace of Congress on July 28 — coinciding with Peru’s 205th anniversary of independence — she will become the nation’s ninth president in just 10 years.

She inherits a country deeply traumatised by political turbulence. The cycle of instability began in 2018 with Kuczynski’s resignation amid allegations of vote-buying. His successor, Martin Vizcarra, was impeached by Congress for “moral incapacity” in 2020, sparking protests that brought down interim leader Manuel Merino in just five days.

Interim President Francisco Sagasti stabilised the country briefly until the 2021 election of Pedro Castillo, who was removed in late 2022 after attempting to dissolve Congress. Castillo’s successor, Dina Boluarte, was herself impeached in late 2025 as gang violence and extortion spiked across Peruvian cities.

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New rules for a frail democracy

To break this pattern of perpetual conflict between the executive and legislative branches, the incoming administration will operate under a newly reformed constitution. Congress has transitioned from a unicameral assembly back to a bicameral legislature, reinstating a 60-seat Senate for the first time since 1992.

Under the new rules, Fujimori’s Fuerza Popular and Sanchez’s Juntos por el Peru will divide power across both chambers alongside smaller conservative and populist factions.

Crucially, any future attempt to impeach the president will require a rigorous two-thirds majority vote in both the Chamber of Deputies and the Senate, a structural safeguard intended to prevent the rapid legislative coups that defined the past decade.

A regional shift

Fujimori’s victory coincides with a broader ideological realignment across Latin America. Her election mirrors conservative momentum across the hemisphere, where leaders like El Salvador’s Nayib Bukele, Argentina’s Javier Milei, Chile’s Jose Antonio Kast, Colombia’s Abelardo de la Espriella and Ecuador’s Daniel Noboa have forged strong ties with Washington.

As international dignitaries, including King Felipe VI of Spain and eight Latin American heads of state, gather in Lima for Tuesday’s swearing-in, all eyes remain on whether she can deliver lasting stability.

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