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Dangote refinery swings to $4.7bn profit as revenue jumps 144%

Dangote Petroleum Refinery has reported a sharp financial turnaround, recording $4.73 billion in net profit for the nine months to September 2026 after posting a loss in the same period last year, as its growing output and stronger refining margins reshape the economics of Africa’s largest refinery.

The company’s unaudited results, released in Lagos on Tuesday, showed revenue climbing 144 per cent to $22.48 billion from $9.2 billion in the corresponding period of 2025. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) rose to $5.52 billion from $627.6 million, while the refinery moved from a $117.2 million loss to a substantial profit.

The figures indicate that the facility is moving beyond its initial commissioning and production ramp-up phase towards more stable commercial operations. Its 700,000-barrel-per-day capacity gives it significant potential to process crude oil and supply refined products at scale, although actual output depends on operating performance and crude availability.

Operating cash flow surged to $3.68 billion from $364.7 million a year earlier. Cash balances also increased to $6.69 billion, while the company shifted from a net debt position of $1.73 billion in September 2025 to net cash of $650.8 million in September 2026.

That shift matters because stronger cash generation can help the business finance operations, meet obligations and support expansion with less reliance on borrowing. However, the reported figures alone do not establish how much of the improvement will translate into lower fuel prices for Nigerian consumers.

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The results also showed that performance strengthened during the third quarter. Revenue rose from $13.91 billion at the end of June to $22.48 billion in September, implying about $8.57 billion in third-quarter revenue. Net profit increased from $1.82 billion at midyear to $4.73 billion at the end of September.

Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer David Bird attributed the improvement to higher refining throughput, greater operational reliability and stronger refining margins.

“Our third-quarter performance demonstrates the successful transition from commissioning and ramp-up activities to sustainable commercial operations,” Bird said.

He added that the results would support the company’s growth strategy, including plans to increase refining capacity, expand its product range and strengthen distribution across Africa.

The financial milestone comes as the refinery pursues an initial public offering (IPO) designed to give more African investors a stake in the business. The Securities and Exchange Commission approved an extension of the offer period from October 13 to October 27, 2026.

The offer comprises 4.1 billion ordinary shares at ₦525 each, giving it a potential value of approximately ₦2.15 trillion if all shares are sold.

Meanwhile, the refinery’s expanding operations could strengthen domestic fuel supply and reduce dependence on imported refined products. Yet the effect on pump prices will also depend on crude costs, exchange rates, distribution expenses and market pricing.

The next testing is whether the refinery can sustain its profitability while delivering reliable supplies and translating its industrial scale into measurable benefits for Nigerian households and businesses.

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