Amid Rising National Insecurity, Niger Delta Finds Stability Through Tantita—Investigation
…South-South Insecurity Incidents
Dropped By 20.9% In Three Years
…North-West Emerges Hotspot Of Hostilities, North-East, Valley Of Death
Despite the escalating security across the country, tension in the Niger-Delta region has been on the decline, investigation has shown.
A survey carried out by THE WHISTLER also shows that majority of the respondents attribute the de-escalation of security incidents in the Niger-Delta region to the pipeline surveillance operations being executed by Tantita Security Services Nigeria Limited (TSSNL).
The Armed Conflict Location and Event Data project (ACLED) data show that violent events declined by 20.9 per cent in the South-South geopolitical region between 2023 and 2025.
The rate of fatalities arising from such violent events in the oil rich region declined by 8.3 per cent within the same period of time.
Although the rate of similar conflicts declined by a higher margin of 26.9 per cent in the South-East region, the rate of fatalities resulting from such events increased within the region by 8.3 per cent.
The violent events tracked by ACLED within the period under review include violence against civilians, battles between the authorities and armed groups, protests, strategic developments, riots, and explosions/remote violence.
The South-West recorded a decline of 14.1 per cent in the total number of incidents between 2023 and 2025. However, the fatality rate increased by 12.21 per cent.
The picture takes a different look in the three geopolitical regions of Northern Nigeria.
According to the database, North-West incidents increased by 127.9 per cent between 2023 and 2025 and in the process, recorded an increase of 99.1 per cent in fatality rate.
The North-East witnessed a rise of 19.5 per cent in the number of events and an increase in fatality rate of 26. 4 per cent within the period under review.
On the other hand, the number of incidents in the North-Central region increased by 74.1 per cent while the number of fatality rate increased by 38.3 per cent between 2023 and 2025.
ACLED tracked a total of 4,701 incidents in all the regions in 2023. The number increased to 5,815 in 2024 and 6,570 in 2025. These give a total of 17,086 incidents within a period of three years.
Regional distribution of conflicts showed that the North-West recorded a total of 1,076 events in 2023; 1,727 in 2024, and 2,452 in 2025. These give a total of 5,255 incidents for the years under review.
The North-East recorded 923 events in 2023; 985 in 2024, and 1,103 in 2025. These give a total of 3,011 for the three-year period.
Similarly, the North-Central recorded 918 incidences in 2023; 1,140 in 2024 and 1,598 in 2025. These give a total of 3,656 for the three-year period.
For the South-South, a total of 651 conflicts occurred in 2023; 720 incidents in 2024, and 515 incidents in 2025. These sum up to a total of 1,886 for the period of review.
The South-West recorded a total of 573 incidents in 2023; 654 in 2024, and 492 incidents in 2025. These give a regional total of 1,719 events for the three-year period covered by this period.
On the other hand, the South-East recorded 560 events in 2023; 589 events in 2024, and 410 in 2025. These sum up to a total of 1,559 events for the years, 2023 to 2035.
In terms of fatalities, the national figure increased from 8,847 in 2023 to 9,862 in 2024. By 2025, it increased to 12,858. These give a total of 31,567 deaths for the period of three years.
Regional fatalities showed that the North-East recorded 3,469 deaths in 2023; 2,530 in 2024; and 4,486 in 2025. These come to a total of 10,485 in the three-year period.
The North-West recorded 2,351 deaths in 2023; 3,952 in 2024; and 4,680 in 2025. These sum up to a total of 10,983 within a period of three years.
The North-Central region recorded 1,921 fatalities in 2023; 2,038 in 2024; and 2,657 in 2025. These come to a total of 6,616 within the three years under review.
Turning down south, the South-East recorded 471 deaths in 2023; 598 in 2024; and 510 in 2025. These sum up to 1,579 in the three-year period.
In the South-South, regional fatalities rose from 399 in 2023 to 438, but declined significantly to 366 in 2025. These add up to 1,203 within a period of three years, 2023 to 2025.
The South-West recorded 231 deaths in 2023; 306 in 2024; and 259 in 2025. These come to a regional fatality of 796 within the three-year period under review.
For the first five months of this year ending on May 23, 2026, the ACLED data showed a total of 3,477 incidents occurring in the regions in the following order: North-West, 1,318; North-East, 910; North-Central, 781; South-South, 158; South-West, 206; and South-East, 104.
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