The EU on Monday moves Ukraine’s bid to join onto the next stage after a long delay, but that doesn’t mean Kiev’s path to full membership is getting easier.
Foreign ministers from the 27-nation bloc will formally kick off negotiations with Ukraine and neighbouring Moldova on aligning with a first “cluster” of EU laws.
Ukraine’s progress was stuck for some two years as Hungary’s leader Viktor Orban vetoed all progress, but his election defeat by rival Peter Magyar in April opened up the way.
“This is a recognition of the determination, courage and hard work shown by both countries in advancing reforms, even in the face of immense challenges,” EU chief Ursula von der Leyen said in a joint statement with European Council President Antonio Costa.
“In a world marked by growing uncertainty, a larger European Union is in our common interest.”
But despite the fanfare — and Kiev’s pleas for quick progress four years after it applied for membership in the wake of Russia’s invasion — that doesn’t mean the war-torn country is going to join the bloc any time soon.
In purely practical terms, a mammoth workload still lies ahead to align Ukraine’s laws, institutions, and standards with the EU’s.
That involves negotiating through 35 “chapters” covering everything from the environment and agriculture to justice and security — grouped into six “clusters”.
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But, as ever in the EU, the question is also deeply political, and there are myriad points at which any member state that wants can slam the brakes on Kiev.
“This is a long process. Ukraine is at war. It has organised crime issues to solve. It would be the third biggest country in the EU,” a European diplomat told AFP on condition of anonymity.
“The prospect of Ukraine’s enlargement happening soon was never realistic.”
Hungary’s Magyar, for one, has pledged a referendum on Kiev joining if Ukraine completes all the negotiations “within the next 10 to 15 years”.
Beyond that, there seems to be a broader willingness to temper Kiev’s ambitions — and growing talk of possible alternatives.
‘Associate’ member?
